By Dr. Josef Braml, USA Expert.
Many Europeans are asking themselves how the war in Ukraine and the U.S. elections in November 2024 might affect each other. The simple answer is: the tail does not wag the dog. Since the U.S. itself is not a party to the war and – as U.S. President Joe Biden assured his countrymen from the outset – no American soldier will die for Ukraine, the war in faraway Europe is also beyond the perception of most Americans.
Once again, domestic issues, especially economic ones, will be more decisive in the election. In foreign policy, China plays a much more important role. Domestic priorities and the reorientation of U.S. foreign policy toward Asia, on the other hand, will have serious implications for Europe and will force its decision-makers to assume greater responsibility for the security of our continent. For more detail, see the article by Dr. Josef Braml for the news portal Watson: “America’s Support for Ukraine Wanes.”
The rivalry between the great powers of the USA and China is increasingly affecting the prosperity and security of Germany and Europe. We are increasingly caught in a quandary and will become the collateral damage of this historic confrontation if our leaders do not develop options for action to defend our interests and values in the increasingly fierce geo-economic competition. See the analysis in the Zeitschrift für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik (ZfAS).
USA expert Dr. Josef Braml is Secretary General of the German Group of the think tank Trilateral Commission – an influential global platform for dialogue between America, Europe and Asia. He has 20 years of experience in applied research and consulting at leading global think tanks, including the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), the Aspen Institute, the Brookings Institution, the World Bank, and as a legislative aide in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Book Dr. Josef Braml for lectures at The Premium Speakers Agency.